De: José Silva - "O Faroeste chegou à minha porta e a recessão chegará ao Norte em 2008"

Há uns meses anunciava que o Norte estava a caminho do Faroeste. Hoje o Faroeste chegou à minha porta. Esta noite tentaram assaltar o meu carro, que estava dentro da garagem do prédio onde habito no Castelo da Maia. Entretanto, o Faroeste no Porto e o seguinte texto revelam o que de pior está para vir.

«Violent Crime Means Recession Time: Based on FBI reports going back to 1972 and the business cycle chart compiled by the National Bureau of Economic Research, it looks as if violent crime trends upward at the beginning of a contraction and generally stays up through the initial phases of a recovery. The same pattern emerges when you overlay historical statistics for robbery alone from the Bureau of Justice Statistics. Holdups increased noticeably in 1973, 1980, 1981, 1990, and 2001, years in which recessions began. Though we haven't offered this observation to the economics profession for rigorous review, it makes intuitive sense that, when times get tough, the toughs get tougher. If the robbery stat is higher when the FBI issues a full-year report in the late summer or early fall, take some profits.»

Portanto, considerando também este indicador, recessão no Norte em 2008.

José Silva - Norteamos